We have two urns $U$ and $V$ containing balls. On each of the balls is written one of the numbers $-1$, $1$, or $2$.
Urn $U$ contains one ball bearing the number 1 and three balls bearing the number $-1$. Urn $V$ contains one ball bearing the number 1 and three balls bearing the number 2. We consider a game in which each round proceeds as follows: first we draw at random a ball from urn $U$, we note $x$ the number written on this ball and then we put it in urn $V$. In a second step, we draw at random a ball from urn $V$ and we note $y$ the number written on this ball. We consider the following events:
- $U _ { 1 }$: ``we draw a ball bearing the number 1 from urn $U$, that is $x = 1$'';
- $U _ { - 1 }$: ``we draw a ball bearing the number $-1$ from urn $U$, that is $x = -1$'';
- $V _ { 2 }$: ``we draw a ball bearing the number 2 from urn $V$, that is $y = 2$'';
- $V _ { 1 }$: ``we draw a ball bearing the number 1 from urn $V$, that is $y = 1$'';
- $V _ { - 1 }$: ``we draw a ball bearing the number $-1$ from urn $V$'', that is $y = -1$''.
- Copy and complete the probability tree.
- In this game, with each round we associate the complex number $z = x + \mathrm { i } y$.
Calculate the probabilities of the following events. The answers will be justified. a. $A$: ``$z = -1 - \mathrm { i }$''; b. $B$: ``$z$ is a solution of the equation $t ^ { 2 } + 2 t + 5 = 0$''; c. $C$: ``In the complex plane with an orthonormal coordinate system $( \mathrm { O } ; \vec { u } , \vec { v } )$ the point $M$ with affixe $z$ belongs to the disk with center O and radius 2''. - During a round, we obtain the number 1 on each of the balls drawn. Show that the complex number $z$ associated with this round satisfies $z ^ { 2020 } = - 2 ^ { 1010 }$.