kyotsu-test 2019 QC2-I-Q2
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(Course 2) Q2 Consider dice-X with the following property: when it is rolled, for numbers 1 through 5 the probabilities of that number's coming up are all the same, but the probability that 6 comes up is twice that of any other number.
(1) Denote by $p$ the probability that a particular number 1 through 5 comes up. The probability that number 6 comes up is $\mathbf { L }$ p. Since the probability of the whole event is $\mathbf { M }$, we have $p = \frac { \mathbf { N } } { \mathbf { O } }$.
(2) Dice-X is rolled twice in succession. Let us denote by $A$ the event that for both rolls the number that comes up is 1 through 5, and by $B$ the event that number 6 comes up at least once. Then the probability of event $A$, $P(A)$, and that of event $B$, $P(B)$, are
$$P ( A ) = \frac { \mathbf { PQ } } { \mathbf { RS } } , \quad P ( B ) = \frac { \mathbf { TU } } { \mathbf { VW } }$$
Hence, we see that $\mathbf { X }$. (For $\mathbf { X }$, choose the correct answer from among choices (0) $\sim$ (4) below.) (0) $P ( A )$ is less than $P ( B )$ and the difference between them is not less than $\frac { 1 } { 36 }$.
(1) $P ( A )$ is less than $P ( B )$ and the difference between them is less than $\frac { 1 } { 36 }$.
(2) $P ( A )$ and $P ( B )$ are the same.
(3) $P ( A )$ is greater than $P ( B )$ and the difference between them is not less than $\frac { 1 } { 36 }$.
(4) $P ( A )$ is greater than $P ( B )$ and the difference between them is less than $\frac { 1 } { 36 }$.
(3) Next, dice-X is rolled three times in succession. Let us denote by $C$ the event that for all three rolls the number which comes up is 1 through 5, and by $D$ the event that the number 6 comes up at least once. When the probability $P(C)$ is compared with the probability $P(D)$, we see that $\mathbf { Y }$. (For $\mathbf { Y }$, choose the correct answer from among choices (0) $\sim$ (4) below.) (0) $P ( C )$ is less than $P ( D )$ and $P ( D )$ is not less than twice $P ( C )$.
(1) $P ( C )$ is less than $P ( D )$ and $P ( D )$ is less than twice $P ( C )$.
(2) $P ( C )$ and $P ( D )$ are the same.
(3) $P ( C )$ is greater than $P ( D )$ and $P ( C )$ is not less than twice $P ( D )$.
(4) $P ( C )$ is greater than $P ( D )$ and $P ( C )$ is less than twice $P ( D )$.