csat-suneung 2014 Q15

csat-suneung · South-Korea · csat__math-A 4 marks Probability Definitions Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem
Bag A contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, and Bag B contains 1 white ball and 3 black balls. One ball is randomly drawn from Bag A. If it is white, 2 white balls are put into Bag B; if it is black, 2 black balls are put into Bag B. Then one ball is randomly drawn from Bag B. What is the probability that the drawn ball is white? [4 points]
(1) $\frac { 1 } { 6 }$
(2) $\frac { 1 } { 5 }$
(3) $\frac { 7 } { 30 }$
(4) $\frac { 4 } { 15 }$
(5) $\frac { 3 } { 10 }$
Bag A contains 2 white balls and 3 black balls, and Bag B contains 1 white ball and 3 black balls. One ball is randomly drawn from Bag A. If it is white, 2 white balls are put into Bag B; if it is black, 2 black balls are put into Bag B. Then one ball is randomly drawn from Bag B. What is the probability that the drawn ball is white? [4 points]\\
(1) $\frac { 1 } { 6 }$\\
(2) $\frac { 1 } { 5 }$\\
(3) $\frac { 7 } { 30 }$\\
(4) $\frac { 4 } { 15 }$\\
(5) $\frac { 3 } { 10 }$