17. One day, Captain Haddock receives a mysterious letter with a confusing paragraph. Captain Haddock and Tintin are investigating the matter. There are two possible suspects: Professor Calculus and Thomson $\&$ Thompson. Based on their past experience:
  • The probability that Professor Calculus sends a letter is $60 \%$, while the probability that Thomson $\&$ Thompson send a letter is $40 \%$.
  • When Professor Calculus sends letters, there is an $80 \%$ probability that the letter contains a confusing paragraph.
  • When Thomson \& Thompson send letters, there is a $5 \%$ probability that the letter contains a confusing paragraph.

What is the probability that the letter was sent by Professor Calculus?
(a) 0.96
(b) 0.80
(c) 0.50
(d) 0.48
17. One day, Captain Haddock receives a mysterious letter with a confusing paragraph. Captain Haddock and Tintin are investigating the matter. There are two possible suspects: Professor Calculus and Thomson $\&$ Thompson. Based on their past experience:

\begin{itemize}
  \item The probability that Professor Calculus sends a letter is $60 \%$, while the probability that Thomson $\&$ Thompson send a letter is $40 \%$.
  \item When Professor Calculus sends letters, there is an $80 \%$ probability that the letter contains a confusing paragraph.
  \item When Thomson \& Thompson send letters, there is a $5 \%$ probability that the letter contains a confusing paragraph.
\end{itemize}

What is the probability that the letter was sent by Professor Calculus?\\
(a) 0.96\\
(b) 0.80\\
(c) 0.50\\
(d) 0.48\\