Part A
Louise drives to work with her car. Her colleague Zoé does not own a car. Each morning, Louise therefore offers to give Zoé a ride. Whatever Zoé's answer, Louise offers to drive her back in the evening. We consider a given day. We have the following information:
- the probability that Louise drives Zoé in the morning is 0.55;
- if Louise drove Zoé in the morning, the probability that she drives her back in the evening is 0.7;
- if Louise did not drive Zoé in the morning, the probability that she drives her back in the evening is 0.24.
We denote $M$ and $S$ the following events:
- $M$: ``Louise drives Zoé in the morning'';
- S: ``Louise drives Zoé back in the evening''.
- Construct a probability tree representing the situation.
- Calculate $P ( M \cap S )$. Translate this result with a sentence.
- Prove that the probability of event S is equal to 0.493.
- We know that Louise drove Zoé back in the evening. What is the probability that Louise drove her in the morning?