grandes-ecoles 2017 QII.A.2
Probability Bounds and Inequalities for Discrete Variables
Let $X$ be a bounded infinitely divisible random variable defined on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, \mathbb{P})$. We denote $M = \sup_{\Omega} |X|$, so that $|X(\omega)| \leqslant M$ for all $\omega \in \Omega$.
Let $n \in \mathbb{N}^{*}$ and let $X_{1}, \ldots, X_{n}$ be independent random variables with the same distribution, such that $X_{1} + \cdots + X_{n}$ has the same distribution as $X$.
a) For all $i \in \llbracket 1, n \rrbracket$, show that $X_{i} \leqslant \frac{M}{n}$ almost surely, then $\left|X_{i}\right| \leqslant \frac{M}{n}$ almost surely.
b) Deduce that $\mathbb{V}(X) \leqslant \frac{M^{2}}{n}$, where $\mathbb{V}(X)$ denotes the variance of $X$.