We denote
$$p_{+} = \mathbb{P}(X' \in C_{+1}) \quad \text{and} \quad p_{-} = \mathbb{P}(X' \in C_{-1})$$
We will assume, without loss of generality, that $p_{+} \geqslant p_{-}$. We set $\lambda = 1 - \frac{p_{-}}{p_{+}}$. Show that
$$\mathbb{E}\left(\exp\left(\frac{1}{8} d(X, C)^{2}\right)\right) \leqslant \frac{1}{2p_{+}}\left(1 + \exp\left(\frac{\lambda^{2}}{2}\right) (1 - \lambda)^{\lambda - 1}\right)$$