grandes-ecoles 2023 Q13

grandes-ecoles · France · centrale-maths2__official Probability Definitions Event Expression and Partition
In this subsection, $n$ is a non-zero natural number and $Z _ { 1 } , \ldots , Z _ { n }$ are discrete random variables independent on a probability space $(\Omega , \mathcal { A } , \mathbb { P })$. For all $p \in \llbracket 1 , n \rrbracket$, we denote $R _ { p } = \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { p } Z _ { i }$. Let $A$ denote the event $\left\{ \max _ { 1 \leqslant p \leqslant n } \left| R _ { p } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\}$. In the case where $n \geqslant 2$, define the events $$A _ { 1 } = \left\{ \left| R _ { 1 } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\} \quad \text { and } \quad A _ { p } = \left\{ \max _ { 1 \leqslant i \leqslant p - 1 } \left| R _ { i } \right| < 3 x \right\} \cap \left\{ \left| R _ { p } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\}$$ for $p \in \llbracket 2 , n \rrbracket$.
Express the event $A$ using the events $A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 } , \ldots , A _ { n }$.
In this subsection, $n$ is a non-zero natural number and $Z _ { 1 } , \ldots , Z _ { n }$ are discrete random variables independent on a probability space $(\Omega , \mathcal { A } , \mathbb { P })$. For all $p \in \llbracket 1 , n \rrbracket$, we denote $R _ { p } = \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { p } Z _ { i }$. Let $A$ denote the event $\left\{ \max _ { 1 \leqslant p \leqslant n } \left| R _ { p } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\}$. In the case where $n \geqslant 2$, define the events
$$A _ { 1 } = \left\{ \left| R _ { 1 } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\} \quad \text { and } \quad A _ { p } = \left\{ \max _ { 1 \leqslant i \leqslant p - 1 } \left| R _ { i } \right| < 3 x \right\} \cap \left\{ \left| R _ { p } \right| \geqslant 3 x \right\}$$
for $p \in \llbracket 2 , n \rrbracket$.

Express the event $A$ using the events $A _ { 1 } , A _ { 2 } , \ldots , A _ { n }$.